Basketball Pricing Model

1. Match setup

Home team Away team Competition format Calibrate to

Home handicap line Home handicap odds Away handicap odds Total points line Over odds Under odds

Lines include overtime Match can end in a tie (no overtime)

Enter decimal odds as quoted (with margin). The model removes the margin, fits itself to the lines, then simulates 10,000 matches.

Players (optional, for player props and player bet builders)

Shares are each player's percentage of their team's total for that stat. Shares for one team don't need to reach 100%, because the rest goes to players not listed.

Name	Team	Points %	3PM %	Reb %	Ast %	Stl %	Blk %	TO %

1. Match setup

2. Model output

Markets (fair prices, no margin)

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1. Match setup

2. Model output

Markets (fair prices, no margin)